Outage 预测与赔率· 4087 个市场

#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

58%

2

$12k 交易量
$3k 流动性
7 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

28%

October 31

$18k 交易量
$230 流动性
7 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$124 流动性
7 天后结束
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

50%

October 31

$0 交易量
$13 流动性
2 个月后结束
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

59%

December 31

$47 交易量
$102 流动性
3 个月后结束
C
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Critical Discord Incident by...?

31%

October 31

$11k 交易量
$808 流动性
7 天后结束
G
GitHub.com critical incident by...?

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

72%

October 31

$0 交易量
$89 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
L
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

49%

1-3 hours

$22k 交易量
$10k 流动性
7 天后结束
U
US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 24?

US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 24?

50%

Up

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
大约 20 小时后结束
G
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

7%

October 31

$4k 交易量
$284 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
SPY Opens Up or Down on September 24?

SPY Opens Up or Down on September 24?

50%

Up

$0 交易量
$20 流动性
大约 19 小时后结束
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

27%

Up

$3k 交易量
$371 流动性
已结束
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

26%

Up

$247 交易量
$102 流动性
已结束
R
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 24?

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 24?

51%

Up

$0 交易量
$441 流动性
大约 19 小时后结束
M
Meta (META) Up or Down on September 24?

Meta (META) Up or Down on September 24?

43%

Up

$256 交易量
$346 流动性
大约 19 小时后结束
E
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 24?

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 24?

53%

Up

$0 交易量
$186 流动性
大约 19 小时后结束
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 24?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 24?

51%

Up

$0 交易量
$930 流动性
大约 21 小时后结束
N
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

86%

December 31, 2026

$5k 交易量
$3k 流动性
已结束
S
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 24?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 24?

50%

Up

$699 交易量
$949 流动性
大约 19 小时后结束
O
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 24?

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 24?

46%

Up

$0 交易量
$384 流动性
大约 19 小时后结束