Llm 预测与赔率· 169 个市场

W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k 交易量
$11k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

14%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$573 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
N
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

73%

1480+

$0 交易量
$265 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7%

Yes

$42k 交易量
$7k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.4m 交易量
$999k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

72%

1440+

$679 交易量
$2k 流动性
9 个月后结束
N
Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

69%

1430+

$10k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$245k 交易量
$27k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
N
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

79%

1450+

$14k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$160k 交易量
$102k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

39%

1450+

$17k 交易量
$20k 流动性
9 个月后结束
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

33%

1480+

$41k 交易量
$11k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

37%

↑ 1530

$218k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

75%

1500+

$98k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

82%

None in 2026

$126k 交易量
$19k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

36%

1575

$133k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

38%

1560

$222k 交易量
$5k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

91%

1480+

$173k 交易量
$12k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
A
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

53%

Anduril

$10k 交易量
$734 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

3%

1530

$389k 交易量
$2k 流动性
8 天后结束