Llm 预测与赔率· 251 个市场

W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k 交易量
$11k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

13%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$618 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

37%

1450+

$15k 交易量
$15k 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7%

Yes

$42k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m 交易量
$997k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k 交易量
$19k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$158k 交易量
$99k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

34%

↑ 1530

$218k 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

69%

1500+

$87k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

80%

None in 2026

$126k 交易量
$20k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

30%

1575

$132k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

33%

1560

$220k 交易量
$5k 流动性
3 个月后结束
M
M15 Monastir: Ewen Lumsden vs Jaume Pla Malfeito

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Ewen Lumsden vs Jaume Pla Malfeito

100%

Ewen Lumsden

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
7 天后结束
M
M25 Setubal: Lemuel Cassidy vs Diogo Morais

Tennis · Sports

M25 Setubal: Lemuel Cassidy vs Diogo Morais

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
7 天后结束
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

92%

1480+

$172k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

3%

1540

$389k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 天后结束
M
M15 Monastir: Ewen Lumsden vs Alexander Watanabe Eriksson

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Ewen Lumsden vs Alexander Watanabe Eriksson

51%

Ewen Lumsden

$0 交易量
$80 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Will Google have the best LLM before 2024?

All · google

Will Google have the best LLM before 2024?

No

$4k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束
W
What will Oracle say during their next earnings call?

AI 25+ times

$3k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束