Interactive Business Machines 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

74%

Anthropic

$1.4m 交易量
$940k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

14%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$616 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

81%

$900B-$1.00T

$34k 交易量
$7k 流动性
6 天后结束
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$163k 交易量
$119k 流动性
3 个月后结束
I
ISM Services PMI - September 2026

ISM Services PMI - September 2026

25%

53.0 to 53.9

$16k 交易量
$4k 流动性
10 天后结束
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

31%

53.0 to 53.9

$15k 交易量
$9k 流动性
6 天后结束
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

29%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

98%

OpenAI

$54k 交易量
$14k 流动性
6 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

94%

Anthropic

$56k 交易量
$28k 流动性
6 天后结束
W
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

97%

Anthropic

$108k 交易量
$40k 流动性
6 天后结束
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$247k 交易量
$21k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$67k 交易量
$25k 流动性
6 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$4.0m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$73k 今日
6 天后结束
L
Largest private company end of September?

Largest private company end of September?

100%

Anthropic

$10k 交易量
$19k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

69%

Anthropic

$34k 交易量
$19k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?

94%

Anthropic

$70k 交易量
$46k 流动性
6 天后结束
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

34%

1470+

$52k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3 个月后结束
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

55%

Other

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
4 天后结束
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

55%

↑$975B

$86k 交易量
$19k 流动性
7 天后结束