Interactive Business Machines 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

74%

Anthropic

$1.4m 交易量
$989k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$605 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

71%

$900B-$1.00T

$30k 交易量
$5k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$160k 交易量
$107k 流动性
3 个月后结束
I
ISM Services PMI - September 2026

ISM Services PMI - September 2026

25%

53.0 to 53.9

$16k 交易量
$4k 流动性
12 天后结束
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

29%

54.0 to 54.9

$14k 交易量
$7k 流动性
8 天后结束
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

97%

OpenAI

$54k 交易量
$21k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

94%

Anthropic

$55k 交易量
$55k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

97%

Anthropic

$108k 交易量
$56k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$247k 交易量
$15k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

95%

Anthropic

$66k 交易量
$34k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.9m 交易量
$1.6m 流动性
🔥$118k 今日
7 天后结束
L
Largest private company end of September?

Largest private company end of September?

100%

Anthropic

$10k 交易量
$34k 流动性
8 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

69%

Anthropic

$33k 交易量
$21k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?

94%

Anthropic

$70k 交易量
$53k 流动性
7 天后结束
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

40%

1470+

$44k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

58%

Other

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
5 天后结束
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

38%

↑$975B

$74k 交易量
$37k 流动性
8 天后结束