Grok 预测与赔率· 225 个市场

N
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

37%

1450+

$17k 交易量
$18k 流动性
9 个月后结束
H
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

82%

45%+

$121k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
W
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

2%

Yes

$85k 交易量
$47k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

47%

December 31

$14k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

61%

December 31

$0 交易量
$108 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

50%+

$25k 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in September 2026?

78%

↓ $180

$32k 交易量
$22k 流动性
9 天后结束
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

September 21

$44k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
8 天后结束
W
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

No

$14k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by...?

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by...?

September 12

$51k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
26 天后结束
N
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$29k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
G
Grok 4.6 released on...?

Grok 4.6 released on...?

August 12

$8k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
G
Grok 4.6 released by...?

Grok 4.6 released by...?

August 14

$263k 交易量
$0 流动性
38
已结束
N
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1440+

$61k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

October 31

$10k 交易量
$0 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?

1440+

$78k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
G
Grok 4.4 released by...?

Grok 4.4 released by...?

July 31

$198k 交易量
$0 流动性
10
已结束
G
Grok 4.20 released on...?

Grok 4.20 released on...?

February 17

$663k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
G
Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?

Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?

No

$20k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束
X
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

25%+

$24k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束