Chatgpt 预测与赔率· 446 个市场

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# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$11k 交易量
$4k 流动性
8 天后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$124 流动性
8 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

49%

October 31

$18k 交易量
$388 流动性
8 天后结束
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

26%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k 交易量
$526k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

73%

Muse from Meta

$5k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2 天后结束
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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

Reserved app 1

$2k 交易量
$548 流动性
2 天后结束
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

59%

Texas

$5k 交易量
$532 流动性
4 天后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

33%

1560

$225k 交易量
$5k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

74%

Anthropic

$1.4m 交易量
$987k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

47%

January 31

$0 交易量
$130 流动性
4 个月后结束
H
How many Codex resets week of September 21?

How many Codex resets week of September 21?

42%

3

$796 交易量
$330 流动性
5 天后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

99%

September 30

$17k 交易量
$3k 流动性
5
大约 1 个月后结束
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on...?

OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on...?

25%

September 23

$90 交易量
$308 流动性
8 天后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$573 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$6k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30?

All

Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30?

Yes

$15k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

August 31

$27k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
C
ChatGPT Outage on...?

ChatGPT Outage on...?

August 7

$5k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
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# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?

<3

$10k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束