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Artificial General Intelligence 预测与赔率· 122 个市场

W

What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

86%

Terror / Terrorism

$25k 交易量

$17k 流动性

2

2 天后结束

W

Culture·Israel

What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

91%

Israel 10+ times

$7k 交易量

$5k 流动性

1

4 天后结束

O

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$265k 交易量

$23k 流动性

30

3 个月后结束

C

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

32%

Yes

$318 交易量

$150 流动性

3 个月后结束

O

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

59%

OpenAI

$491 交易量

$1k 流动性

超过 1 年后结束

O

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

41%

December 31, 2026

$1k 交易量

$1k 流动性

超过 1 年后结束

U

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$31k 交易量

$3k 流动性

3 个月后结束

U

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$35k 交易量

$4k 流动性

1

3 个月后结束

T

Politics·Trump

Trump renames AI by September 30?

16%

Yes

$362 交易量

$9k 流动性

10 天后结束

U

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

6%

Yes

$24k 交易量

$19k 流动性

3 个月后结束

T

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

14%

December 31

$2k 交易量

$1k 流动性

3 个月后结束

W

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

6%

Yes

$444 交易量

$440 流动性

3 个月后结束

S

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k 交易量

$10k 流动性

2 个月后结束

T

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量

$4k 流动性

2 个月后结束

S

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

60%

Anthropic

$25k 交易量

$12k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

T

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$40k 交易量

$8k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

U

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k 交易量

$5k 流动性

4

3 个月后结束

A

AI bubble burst by...?

12%

Yes

$3.0m 交易量

$17k 流动性

96

3 个月后结束

S

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

54%

Anthropic

$81k 交易量

$15k 流动性

10 天后结束

W

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$59k 交易量

$61k 流动性

2

大约 1 个月后结束

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