AI Releases 预测与赔率· 108 个市场

N
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

85%

October 31

$19k 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

17%

Yes

$275k 交易量
$17k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

17%

Yes

$38k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

1%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$653 流动性
5 天后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

33%

December 31, 2026

$442k 交易量
$12k 流动性
46
3 个月后结束
G
GPT-7 released by...?

GPT-7 released by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$15k 交易量
$19k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

12%

Yes

$173k 交易量
$34k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

3%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

18%

Clip-on device for clothing

$438k 交易量
$27k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

8%

Yes

$7k 交易量
$9k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

21%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m 交易量
$42k 流动性
97
3 个月后结束
A
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

6%

Yes

$638 交易量
$714 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$84k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

16%

Yes

$81k 交易量
$1k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

56%

December 31

$489 交易量
$357 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

56%

0

$172k 交易量
$61k 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

65%

December 31

$120k 交易量
$1k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

41%

October 31

$5k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$46k 交易量
$36k 流动性
3 个月后结束
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

19%

December 31

$7.2m 交易量
$132k 流动性
409
3 个月后结束