AI Releases 预测与赔率· 106 个市场

N
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

85%

October 31

$19k 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

16%

Yes

$275k 交易量
$27k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

2%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$5k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$441k 交易量
$10k 流动性
46
3 个月后结束
G
GPT-7 released by...?

GPT-7 released by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$14k 交易量
$14k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$167k 交易量
$37k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

4%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

20%

Clip-on device for clothing

$437k 交易量
$26k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

11%

Yes

$7k 交易量
$8k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

21%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m 交易量
$43k 流动性
97
3 个月后结束
A
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

6%

Yes

$633 交易量
$725 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

30%

Google

$79k 交易量
$5k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$81k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

56%

December 31

$489 交易量
$337 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

57%

0

$154k 交易量
$63k 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

83%

December 31

$116k 交易量
$1k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

14%

October 31

$5k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$37k 交易量
$18k 流动性
3 个月后结束
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m 交易量
$84k 流动性
409
3 个月后结束