6 More Weeks Of Winter 预测与赔率· 102 个市场

F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

98%

Indianapolis, IN by November 30

$13k 交易量
$7k 流动性
1
2 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m 交易量
$293k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

38%

5.9%+

$15k 交易量
$7k 流动性
16 天后结束
W
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

30%

Florida

$22k 交易量
$6k 流动性
2 个月后结束
J
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

17%

6.8M to 6.9M

$677 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide  September 28 - October 4?

56%

0

$2k 交易量
$9k 流动性
5 天后结束
G
GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

51%

>2.5%

$85k 交易量
$8k 流动性
4 个月后结束
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

9%

Yes

$248k 交易量
$1k 流动性
17
5 个月后结束
H
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

74%

7.9 or below

$6k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

96%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$699 流动性
6 个月后结束
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

56%

2 (50 bps)

$770k 交易量
$196k 流动性
🔥$67k 今日
3 个月后结束
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

86%

Yes

$328k 交易量
$207k 流动性
🔥$143k 今日
2 个月后结束
M
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

98%

4.4-4.6m sq km

$92k 交易量
$11k 流动性
6
2 天后结束
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

56%

↓ $0.03

$18k 交易量
$879 流动性
3 个月后结束
J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

5%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$173 流动性
1
7 个月后结束
L
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

50%

-1.00 to 0.99 ft

$11k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束
E
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026

99%

Oklahoma

$9k 交易量
$4k 流动性
1 天后结束
N
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

62%

No change

$19k 交易量
$1k 流动性
27 天后结束
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

57%

1.35–1.39ºC

$3k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.6m 交易量
$4.0m 流动性
123
3 个月后结束