Climate Science 预测与赔率· 119 个市场

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$16k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 交易量
$296 流动性
9 个月后结束
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First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k 交易量
$7k 流动性
1
2 个月后结束
W
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

73%

Over 2.5

$46k 交易量
$8k 流动性
6 个月后结束
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

43%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
20 天后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k 交易量
$288k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$3k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

73%

1

$3.5m 交易量
$228k 流动性
27
3 个月后结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$334 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
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September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

$4k 交易量
$3k 流动性
11 天后结束
W
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?

Yes

$105k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Bernie Sanders say during his Minneapolis Rally?

Hell 2+ times

$25k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy Tour?

Healthcare 4+ times

$46k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
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What will Bernie Sanders and Zohran Mamdani say at NYC Rally on April 12?

Billionaire 5+ times

$102k 交易量
$0 流动性
12
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S
Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$93k 交易量
$0 流动性
17
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W
What will Obama say during DNC speech?

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

Hope

$789k 交易量
$0 流动性
105
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What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

CIA

$286k 交易量
$0 流动性
47
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W
What will the next Pope believe in?

What will the next Pope believe in?

Promoting a “Synodal Church”

$398k 交易量
$0 流动性
9
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W
What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?

Recession

$51k 交易量
$0 流动性
16
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