Xai Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

78%

Anthropic

$7.4m Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$158k Vol.
$288k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

79%

None in 2026

$126k Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

50%

A

$0 Vol.
$277 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

50%

A

$0 Vol.
$283 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

59%

December 31

$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

61%

December 31

$0 Vol.
$143 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

57%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$80k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

55%

SpaceX

$12k Vol.
$193 Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$180 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
H
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

44%

$100B+

$8k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

66%

1.5T+

$335k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

89%

September 24

$7k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

55%

OpenAI

$162k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
O
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

57%

Yes

$850 Vol.
$53 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

59%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$312k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months