Weather Predictions & Odds· 488 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$337 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Where will it rain on September 23?

95%

Miami, FL

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
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Where will it rain on August 10?

Singapore

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$305k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
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Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$759 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?
$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
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What price will Ethena hit in September?

57%

↑ 0.24

$7k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 24?

40%

31°C

$428 Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest wind gust at Boston Logan, September 24 to 28?

94%

35 kt or more

$147 Vol.
$583 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
H
Highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia, September 24 to 28?

90%

25 kt or more

$168 Vol.
$365 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 23?

95%

$85

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

98%

October 31

$709k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which cities face tornado risk on September 22?

47%

Indianapolis, IN

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

28%

Gonzalo

$41k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
H
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 24?

50%

25°C

$541 Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
P
Precipitation in London in September?

Precipitation in London in September?

46%

30-40mm

$25k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

48%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 24?

56%

19°C

$2k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 1 day