Weather Predictions & Odds· 535 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$377 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

95%

Chicago, IL

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Where will it rain on September 18?

Where will it rain on September 18?

100%

Denver, CO

$2k Vol.
$722 Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
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Where will it rain on August 10?

Singapore

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$329 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

15%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$900k Vol.
$235k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$580 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
H
Highest temperature in Houston on September 21?

51%

94-95°F

$127 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$690k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

25%

Gonzalo

$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
P
Precipitation in London in September?

Precipitation in London in September?

55%

<30mm

$16k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
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Lowest temperature in London on September 21?

35%

11°C

$560 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 20?

41%

14°C

$3k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest temperature in London on September 21?

32%

23°C

$321 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
L
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 21?

30%

62-63°F

$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
L
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 20?

40%

66-67°F

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 21?

26%

29°C

$112 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

46%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 21 days