Weather Science Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$370 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Where will it rain on September 23?

Where will it rain on September 23?

100%

Washington, DC

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
W
Where will it rain on September 24?

90%

Seattle, WA

$210 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$294 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1.0m Vol.
$261k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US Tornadoes in September 2026

US Tornadoes in September 2026

49%

25 - 49

$224 Vol.
$482 Liq.
Ends in 21 days
W
Which cities face tornado risk on September 23?

50%

Dallas, TX

$863 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

49%

1.35–1.39ºC

$3k Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

28%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will it rain on August 10?

Singapore

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 24?

93%

$89

$59 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest wind gust at Boston Logan, September 24 to 28?

56%

35 kt or more

$1k Vol.
$350 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$753 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$575k Vol.
$10k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

98%

October 31

$715k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will any player break the NFL single-season sacks record in the 2026-27 season?

8%

Yes

$40 Vol.
$158 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

36%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$59 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m Vol.
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27
Ends in 5 months