Weather Science Predictions & Odds· 516 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$379 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Where will it rain on September 23?

93%

Miami, FL

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Where will it rain on September 22?

Where will it rain on September 22?

100%

Washington, DC

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$282k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US Tornadoes in September 2026

US Tornadoes in September 2026

49%

25 - 49

$224 Vol.
$483 Liq.
Ends in 21 days
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

48%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will it rain on August 10?

Singapore

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 25?

50%

10°C or below

$202 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
H
Highest wind gust at Boston Logan, September 24 to 28?

75%

35 kt or more

$688 Vol.
$832 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$783 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

98%

October 31

$709k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

19%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$71 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$213k Liq.
27
Ends in 5 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 0.40

$79k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 24?

39%

31°C

$483 Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia, September 24 to 28?

90%

25 kt or more

$625 Vol.
$929 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
H
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 24?

37%

30°C

$4k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 1 day