US Iran Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 25

$2.3m Vol.
$582k Liq.
🔥$256k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$18.1m Vol.
$496k Liq.
🔥$139k today
157
Ended
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

79%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$990k Vol.
$239k Liq.
🔥$102k today
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$999k Vol.
$316k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$16k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

49%

USA

$15k Vol.
$122k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

7%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$41k Liq.
8
Ends in 7 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

28%

October 31

$369k Vol.
$32k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 days
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$160k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

0%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$28k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$26k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$163k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$31.2m Vol.
$407k Liq.
🔥$554k today
604
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

21%

Yes

$251k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.4m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$102k today
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$605 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

39%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$859 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months