US Iran Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 25

$2.2m Vol.
$537k Liq.
🔥$335k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

14%

December 31

$18.0m Vol.
$381k Liq.
🔥$160k today
157
Ended
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

71%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$977k Vol.
$216k Liq.
🔥$107k today
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$984k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

8%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$50k Liq.
8
Ends in 8 days
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

35%

USA

$11k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$7k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

31%

October 31

$369k Vol.
$33k Liq.
6
Ends in 8 days
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$160k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

1%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$27k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$163k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$31.0m Vol.
$438k Liq.
🔥$789k today
602
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

21%

Yes

$251k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.4m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$572k today
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$603 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

37%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$872 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

38%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$79 Liq.
Ends in 8 days