US Iran Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

93%

March 31, 2027

$12.2m Vol.
$152k Liq.
🔥$298k today
Ends in 9 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 25

$2.0m Vol.
$517k Liq.
🔥$225k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

72%

USA

$6.5m Vol.
$749k Liq.
🔥$129k today
Ends in 8 days
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

14%

December 31

$18.0m Vol.
$365k Liq.
🔥$88k today
156
Ended
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

72%

Abbas Araghchi

$906k Vol.
$179k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

12%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$38k Liq.
8
Ends in 8 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$968k Vol.
$146k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

32%

October 31

$365k Vol.
$24k Liq.
6
Ends in 8 days
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$160k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$27k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$131k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

65%

December 31

$30.7m Vol.
$318k Liq.
🔥$460k today
598
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

21%

Yes

$249k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.3m Vol.
$791k Liq.
🔥$690k today
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$572 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

39%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$877 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

4%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$146 Liq.
Ends in 8 days