US Iran Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

100%

March 31, 2027

$12.5m Vol.
$416k Liq.
🔥$713k today
Ends in 9 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

99%

USA

$6.8m Vol.
$1000k Liq.
🔥$358k today
Ends in 8 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 25

$2.1m Vol.
$523k Liq.
🔥$238k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

18%

December 31

$18.0m Vol.
$355k Liq.
🔥$107k today
157
Ended
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

99%

Abbas Araghchi

$932k Vol.
$273k Liq.
🔥$74k today
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k Vol.
$314k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

10%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$41k Liq.
8
Ends in 8 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

48%

October 31

$366k Vol.
$24k Liq.
6
Ends in 8 days
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$160k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

4%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$27k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$172k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

65%

December 31

$30.8m Vol.
$376k Liq.
🔥$591k today
598
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

25%

Yes

$250k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.4m Vol.
$801k Liq.
🔥$673k today
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$603 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

37%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$847 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

4%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$147 Liq.
Ends in 8 days