US Employment Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$12k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

24%

7.4M to 7.5M

$17k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.1m Vol.
$261k Liq.
🔥$57k today
8
Ends in 3 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

37%

100k to 150k

$11k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$98k Vol.
$4k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$511 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 25?

98%

$740

$697 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
C
Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

6%

Yes

$95k Vol.
$6k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 24?

100%

$765

$25k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ended
U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

41%

800–900B

$25k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
W
What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in September 2026?

50%

↓ 100.00

$57k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

79%

March 31

$31.6m Vol.
$472k Liq.
🔥$397k today
609
Ends in 3 months
W
What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit Week of September 21 2026?

50%

↑ 101.60

$416 Vol.
$16 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$301 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets
$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
D
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Politics · Culture

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

5%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

9%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months