Employment Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

7%

5.0%

$514k Vol.
$8k Liq.
21
Ends in 4 months
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

37%

4.1%

$9k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

6%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$384 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

38%

50k to 100k

$9k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

14%

7.3M to 7.4M

$8k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

78%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$89k Vol.
$20k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$358 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k Vol.
$247k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

6%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$59k Vol.
$59k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k Vol.
$192k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
E
EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?

EPL · Soccer

EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?

50%

Manager A

$200 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 21?

98%

$745

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

56%

↑ 0.24

$6k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

55%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$37k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

28%

June 30, 2027

$825k Vol.
$4k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

34%

5.9%+

$12k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year