US Congress Predictions & Odds· 130 markets

U
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

5%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.1m Vol.
$261k Liq.
🔥$57k today
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$603 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

6%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

64%

Democrats Sweep

$13.9m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$344k today
313
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

53%

Yes

$45k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

85%

Yes

$74k Vol.
$18k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

4%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

John Fetterman

$183k Vol.
$68k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

2%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$88k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$179k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

31%

115-120m

$31k Vol.
$112k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

63%

Democratic Party

$5.2m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$213k today
150
Ends in about 1 month
C
CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

77%

Aisha Wahab

$23k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

32%

Film/TV production expensing

$169k Vol.
$91k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

60%

Ken Calvert

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?

35%

Yes

$21 Vol.
$150 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)

CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)

95%

Lateefah Simon

$3k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month