Uptspt Secretary Of Labor Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

6%

Yes

$247 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

17%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

66%

None before 2027

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RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

19%

Yes

$25k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

16%

6.8M to 6.9M

$0 Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
W
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?

21%

October 14

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1
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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

5.0%

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21
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PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

38%

5.9%+

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Ends in 16 days
W
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

50%

Candidate O

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25
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W
Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

Tim Ryan

$8k Vol.
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W
Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Keith Sonderling

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Ends in 3 months
W
Which Senators will vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer?

John Curtis

$106k Vol.
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W
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Pete Hegseth

$23.0m Vol.
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1,045
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Who will Trump pick for Labor Secretary?

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

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W
Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?

No

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Major US official out by April 30?

No

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Major US official out by May 31?

Yes

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W
Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?

Scott Bessent

$6.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
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