Uptspt Government Predictions & Odds· 3818 markets

W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

90%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$100k Vol.
$98k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

94%

Linke

$8k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

91%

Grüne

$9k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

33%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$426 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

43%

CDU

$40k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

88%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$338k Vol.
$69k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Israeli elections before government formed?

63%

1

$43k Vol.
$65k Liq.
8
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$976 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

76%

Green Party

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

37%

S + MP

$14k Vol.
$219k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months
W
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

13%

PSD

$27k Vol.
$165k Liq.
Ended
W
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

46%

National + ACT + NZF

$55k Vol.
$339k Liq.
8
Ends in about 2 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$187k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$179k Vol.
$82k Liq.
40
Ends in 2 months
J
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

67%

3.0%+

$30k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months