Uptspt Government Predictions & Odds· 1278 markets

W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

84%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$166k Vol.
$121k Liq.
13
Ends in 4 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

17%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Israeli elections before government formed?

63%

1

$48k Vol.
$74k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

96%

SPD

$16k Vol.
$64k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

54%

AfD

$44k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

94%

Grüne

$16k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

71%

Yashar

$4k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$343k Vol.
$108k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

86%

USR

$32k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

73%

Green Party

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

44%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$469 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

7%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

0%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

29%

S + MP

$29k Vol.
$237k Liq.
4
Ends in 10 months
W
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

15%

PSD + PNL + UDMR

$28k Vol.
$163k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

44%

National + ACT + NZF

$56k Vol.
$428k Liq.
8
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

50%

Unusual Machines

$191k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
J
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

70%

3.0%+

$32k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months