The Predictions & Odds· 1000029 markets

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$69.9m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$622k today
1,705
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.4m Vol.
$939k Liq.
🔥$602k today
1
Ends in 3 months
P
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

53%

Gadi Eizenkot

$38.7m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
🔥$181k today
707
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.2m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$165k today
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.8m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$123k today
Ends in 8 days
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

66%

Democratic Party

$5.0m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$110k today
147
Ends in 3 months
U
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

97%

340–354

$2.5m Vol.
$74k Liq.
115
Ended
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%

Yes

$10.8m Vol.
$84k Liq.
275
Ends in 3 months
V
VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

54%

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$52k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

63%

OpenAI

$189k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

99%

Elon Musk

$18k Vol.
$92k Liq.
1
Ends in 15 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

96%

20-24

$75k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ended
W
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

4%

Yes

$297k Vol.
$54k Liq.
34
Ends in 12 days
2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

95%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$436k Vol.
$462k Liq.
103
Ends in 9 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$220k Liq.
27
Ends in 5 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

7%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$133k Liq.
81
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

39%

≤47

$3.0m Vol.
$355k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

97%

Anthropic

$71k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

93%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model end of November?

87%

Anthropic

$12k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 2 months