The Predictions & Odds· 20002 markets

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

3%

December 31

$70.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$821k today
1,704
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.4m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$568k today
1
Ends in 3 months
P
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

53%

Gadi Eizenkot

$38.7m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
🔥$168k today
707
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$154k today
Ends in 7 days
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.2m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$90k today
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

66%

Democratic Party

$5.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$52k today
149
Ends in 3 months
U
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

98%

340–354

$2.5m Vol.
$73k Liq.
115
Ended
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%

Yes

$10.8m Vol.
$81k Liq.
275
Ends in 3 months
V
VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

54%

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$52k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

59%

OpenAI

$191k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

4%

Yes

$299k Vol.
$80k Liq.
34
Ends in 12 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

94%

20-24

$75k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ended
2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

95%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$436k Vol.
$458k Liq.
103
Ends in 9 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$216k Liq.
27
Ends in 5 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

7%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$141k Liq.
81
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

53%

USA

$11k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

99%

Elon Musk

$18k Vol.
$80k Liq.
1
Ends in 15 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

95%

Anthropic

$71k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

87%

Google

$34k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

93%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month