The Holdovers Predictions & Odds· 4090 markets

W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$197k today
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

3%

December 31

$70.3m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$184k today
1,703
Ends in 3 months
P
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

52%

Gadi Eizenkot

$38.9m Vol.
$3.1m Liq.
🔥$135k today
709
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.2m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$67k today
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$50k today
Ends in 6 days
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

66%

Democratic Party

$5.1m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
150
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

2%

Yes

$10.8m Vol.
$118k Liq.
275
Ends in 3 months
U
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

99%

340–354

$2.5m Vol.
$71k Liq.
117
Ended
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$394k Vol.
$767k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

6%

Yes

$325k Vol.
$88k Liq.
34
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

90%

Anthropic

$216k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$256k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

62%

No return before November 1, 2026

$66k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

Josh Hawley

$177k Vol.
$74k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
V
VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

65%

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$66k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
C
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Nexus (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Nexus (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs

35%

The Last Resort

$12k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

42%

≤47

$3.0m Vol.
$355k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dancing With The Stars S35: Week 3 Eliminations

17%

Tyler Cameron

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will any player have 1,750+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

NFL (All) · Sports

Will any player have 1,750+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

39%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

96%

Nuclear

$25k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 19 hours