Special Elections Predictions & Odds· 140 markets

W
Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

99%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

$95k Vol.
$67k Liq.
7
Ended
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

79%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$32k Vol.
$90k Liq.
2
Ended
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

92%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$14k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ended
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

89%

PL

$56k Vol.
$152k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
B
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

61%

PL

$118k Vol.
$259k Liq.
7
Ends in 13 days
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

85%

PL

$298k Vol.
$139k Liq.
10
Ends in 13 days
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$271k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina?

94%

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

$0 Vol.
$713 Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
O
Ohio Senate Election Winner

Ohio Senate Election Winner

55%

Sherrod Brown (D)

$488k Vol.
$212k Liq.
15
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

72%

6

$32k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Florida Senate Election Winner

91%

Ashley Moody (R)

$124k Vol.
$118k Liq.
8
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

33%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$68k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
F
Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner

96%

Angie Nixon (D)

$4k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

67%

Ashley Moody (R)

$4k Vol.
$437 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

95%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$879 Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

21%

115-120m

$30k Vol.
$133k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Iowa

$45k Vol.
$165k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

88%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$180k Vol.
$57k Liq.
41
Ends in 2 months
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

86%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$2k Liq.
6
Ended
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

50%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months