Special Elections Predictions & Odds· 142 markets

W
Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

97%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

$64k Vol.
$91k Liq.
7
Ends in about 13 hours
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

73%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$10k Vol.
$93k Liq.
3
Ends in about 13 hours
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

54%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$9k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

89%

PL

$56k Vol.
$150k Liq.
3
Ends in 14 days
B
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

61%

PL

$118k Vol.
$243k Liq.
7
Ends in 14 days
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

85%

PL

$298k Vol.
$146k Liq.
10
Ends in 14 days
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$276k Liq.
14
Ended
O
Ohio Senate Election Winner

Ohio Senate Election Winner

55%

Sherrod Brown (D)

$484k Vol.
$201k Liq.
15
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

72%

6

$32k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Florida Senate Election Winner

91%

Ashley Moody (R)

$124k Vol.
$123k Liq.
7
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

22–23

$695k Vol.
$76k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
F
Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner

96%

Angie Nixon (D)

$4k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

72%

Ashley Moody (R)

$4k Vol.
$735 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

96%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$730 Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

79%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$100k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

22%

125-130m

$30k Vol.
$121k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Iowa

$45k Vol.
$148k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

88%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$180k Vol.
$56k Liq.
41
Ends in 2 months
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

66%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
6
Ends in about 13 hours
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

51%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months