Speaker Predictions & Odds· 216 markets

M
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

15%

December 31

$57k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Speaker of the House after the midterms?

79%

Hakeem Jeffries

$4k Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$118k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
W
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

99%

-No Qualifying Event-

$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

65%

Yes

$391 Vol.
$48 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

93%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

66%

Democrats Sweep

$13.4m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$250k today
304
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

11%

November 30

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$34k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

93%

September 23

$50k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$179k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.2m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$166k today
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

78%

Mark Carney

$148k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

25%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$527 Liq.
Ended
A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

94%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$407k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ended
W
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through...?

October 15

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
AI on Amazon speaker by June?

All · amazon

AI on Amazon speaker by June?

Yes

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will the next speaker be elected by?

October 31

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Who will be the next speaker?

All

Who will be the next speaker?

Mike Johnson

$553k Vol.
$0 Liq.
42
Ended