Speaker Predictions & Odds· 216 markets

M
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

13%

December 31

$56k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$118k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
S
Speaker of the House after the midterms?

78%

Hakeem Jeffries

$4k Vol.
$38k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

99%

-No Qualifying Event-

$28k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

65%

Yes

$391 Vol.
$40 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

86%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

2%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

64%

Democrats Sweep

$13.2m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$364k today
296
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

31%

December 31

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$41k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

93%

September 30

$48k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.0m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$85k today
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

77%

Mark Carney

$146k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

47%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$365 Liq.
Ended
A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

94%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$407k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ended
W
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through...?

October 15

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
AI on Amazon speaker by June?

All · amazon

AI on Amazon speaker by June?

Yes

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will the next speaker be elected by?

October 31

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Who will be the next speaker?

All

Who will be the next speaker?

Mike Johnson

$553k Vol.
$0 Liq.
42
Ended