Sovereignty Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

3%

Yes

$189k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

4%

Yes

$75k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

2%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$21k Liq.
127
Ends in 3 months
W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$882 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%

Yes

$35.5m Vol.
$185k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Alberta join the US?

Will Alberta join the US?

1%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$48k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

7%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

4%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

4%

Yes

$10.8m Vol.
$67k Liq.
273
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$858 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k Vol.
$247k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

5%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$24k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$360 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

5%

Yes

$157k Vol.
$11k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$793k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$636k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months