Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 283 markets

D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

26%

120-139

$12k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

24%

200+

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

30%

200+

$372 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
C
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?

10%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

40%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$394 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

97%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

$53k Vol.
$106k Liq.
7
Ends in 1 day
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

89%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$99k Vol.
$95k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 months
S
Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?

100%

27-30%

$163k Vol.
$34k Liq.
11
Ended
S
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

100%

S 7-10%

$21k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ended
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

69%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$4k Vol.
$92k Liq.
2
Ends in 1 day
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

51%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$6k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
B
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

61%

PL

$117k Vol.
$239k Liq.
7
Ends in 15 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

China

$951 Vol.
$868 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

53%

The Odyssey

$211k Vol.
$190k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months
S
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place

100%

Christian Democrats (KD)

$117k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ended
O
Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner

50%

Movie A

$12k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

100%

The Odyssey

$30k Vol.
$19k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months