Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 125 markets

D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

24%

140-159

$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

42%

100-119

$16k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

31%

120-139

$12k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

12%

Yes

$79k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$836 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
C
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?

9%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

40%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

99%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

$95k Vol.
$51k Liq.
7
Ended
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

79%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$32k Vol.
$92k Liq.
2
Ended
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

87%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$112k Vol.
$86k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

50%

Film D

$221k Vol.
$224k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

79%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$14k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ended
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
O
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

50%

Movie A

$26k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

100%

The Odyssey

$32k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner

50%

Movie A

$12k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

89%

PL

$56k Vol.
$156k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$80 Liq.
Ended
W
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

82%

The Odyssey

$181k Vol.
$57k Liq.
9
Ends in 5 months