Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 286 markets

D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

100%

100-119

$71k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ended
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

27%

100-119

$19k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

35%

100-119

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
C
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?

8%

Yes

$22 Vol.
$273 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?

8%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

40%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$929 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$81k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

84%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$166k Vol.
$110k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 months
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

89%

PL

$313k Vol.
$275k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 days
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

50%

Film D

$241k Vol.
$237k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
W
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

82%

The Odyssey

$182k Vol.
$56k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner

50%

Movie A

$17k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

100%

The Odyssey

$35k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 6 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

50%

Movie A

$29k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

93%

PL

$57k Vol.
$187k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 days
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$270k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

56%

Scam

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

64%

USR

$32k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
O
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

50%

Movie A

$27k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months