September 15 Primaries Predictions & Odds· 191 markets

B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

19%

December 31

$15.6m Vol.
$314k Liq.
🔥$258k today
275
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 30

$31.7m Vol.
$341k Liq.
🔥$84k today
300
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

68%

October 31

$1.6m Vol.
$132k Liq.
🔥$76k today
118
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

76%

December 31, 2026

$3.9m Vol.
$188k Liq.
51
Ends in 9 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

3%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$27k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 days
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

97%

October 31

$731k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

92%

December 31

$306k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

97%

September 27

$560k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

100%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$61k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

64%

October 31

$1.4m Vol.
$33k Liq.
15
Ends in about 1 month
G
Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

95%

November 30

$606k Vol.
$35k Liq.
18
Ends in 2 months
I
Israel military action against Syria by...?

30%

October 31

$66k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

63%

Does not return by November 1, 2026

$97k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

94%

September 24

$106k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

96%

September 29

$114k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

68%

October 31

$55k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Iran target Syria by...?

Will Iran target Syria by...?

38%

October 31

$41k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

43%

October 31

$13k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Iran target Oman by...?

Will Iran target Oman by...?

8%

October 31

$43k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

61%

No return before November 1, 2026

$67k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month