Secretary Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

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Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$21k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
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Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

6%

Yes

$247 Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
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Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

16%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

0%

Yes

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

5%

Yes

$13k Vol.
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P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

22%

Yes

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Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

63%

None before 2027

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Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

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Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

6%

Yes

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4
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W
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?

21%

October 14

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Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by…?

December 12

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5
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Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Pete Hegseth

$23.0m Vol.
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1,045
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Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?

March 31

$26k Vol.
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Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Yes

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Who will Trump pick for Homeland Security Secretary?

Other

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4
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Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

Other

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4
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W
Who will Trump pick for HHS Secretary?

RFK Jr.

$1.2m Vol.
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Who will be Trump's Health & Human Services Secretary?

RFK Jr.

$2.7m Vol.
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18
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Who will Trump pick for Interior Secretary?

Doug Burgum

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3
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When will DHS receive full-year funding?

February 9

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1
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