Secretary Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

Yes

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Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

7%

Yes

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Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

17%

Yes

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

0%

Yes

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P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

6%

Yes

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R
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

19%

Yes

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P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

22%

Yes

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Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

63%

None before 2027

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Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

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Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

6%

Yes

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When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?

21%

October 14

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Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

50%

Person A

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Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

50%

Candidate O

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How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

22%

4

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Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by…?

December 12

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Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Pete Hegseth

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Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?

March 31

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Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Yes

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Who will Trump pick for Homeland Security Secretary?

Other

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Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

Other

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4
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