Sama Altman Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

33%

Zohran Mamdani

$54k Vol.
$502k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

7%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$715k Vol.
$8k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

94%

Tesla

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

51%

ChatGPT

$6k Vol.
$233 Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
A
Ankara (Doubles): Altinel/Egorova vs Bertea/Yashina

Tennis · Sports

Ankara (Doubles): Altinel/Egorova vs Bertea/Yashina

50%

Altinel/Egorova

$55 Vol.
$295 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Vlada Pikhlik vs Aglaya Fedorova

Tennis · Sports

W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Vlada Pikhlik vs Aglaya Fedorova

30%

Vlada Pikhlik

$0 Vol.
$401 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
W15 Constanta: Ana Maria Popa Lazar vs Yoana Moneva

Tennis · Sports

W15 Constanta: Ana Maria Popa Lazar vs Yoana Moneva

100%

Ana Maria Popa Lazar

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
M
M25 Sabadell: Kostiantyn Aksonov vs MARC MARTIN ROCA

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sabadell: Kostiantyn Aksonov vs MARC MARTIN ROCA

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

41%

0

$128k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
M15 Curitiba: Miguel Daiha vs Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti

Tennis · Sports

M15 Curitiba: Miguel Daiha vs Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti

50%

Miguel Daiha

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$490 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
M
M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner

Tennis · Sports

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner

1%

Thiago Horacio Messa

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
W15 Constanta: Helena Muzinic vs Estella Jaeger

Tennis · Sports

W15 Constanta: Helena Muzinic vs Estella Jaeger

1%

Helena Muzinic

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
M
M25 Sabadell: Max Casadevall Samon vs Alexander Petrov

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sabadell: Max Casadevall Samon vs Alexander Petrov

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Salaru Nicolae vs. Culaghin Dmitri

Sports · Games

Salaru Nicolae vs. Culaghin Dmitri

50%

Salaru Nicolae

$0 Vol.
$3 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
L
Lazebnyi Ruslan vs. Smyrnov Mykyta

Sports · Games

Lazebnyi Ruslan vs. Smyrnov Mykyta

50%

Lazebnyi Ruslan

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
W15 Constanta: Daniella Dimitrova vs ARINA YAKUSHEVA

Tennis · Sports

W15 Constanta: Daniella Dimitrova vs ARINA YAKUSHEVA

100%

Daniella Dimitrova

$0 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Massimo Giunta

Tennis · Sports

Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Massimo Giunta

Alejandro Moro Canas

$112k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended