Sam Bankman Fried Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

22%

Roger Stone

$480k Vol.
$315k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
S
SBF released from custody in 2026?

2%

Yes

$465k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump pardon SBF by December 31?

25%

Yes

$59 Vol.
$440 Liq.
Ended
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

1%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
M
M25 Falun: Samir Banerjee vs Henry Bernet

Tennis · Sports

M25 Falun: Samir Banerjee vs Henry Bernet

48%

Samir Banerjee

$85 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
C
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage
$725 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
Honor of Kings: Bacon Time vs Buriram United Esports (BO5) - RoV Pro League Group Stage

Esports · Honor of Kings

Honor of Kings: Bacon Time vs Buriram United Esports (BO5) - RoV Pro League Group Stage

50%

Bacon Time

$0 Vol.
$240 Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
C
Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage
$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Diamant Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage
$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
M25 Yinchuan: Alibek Kachmazov vs Sasikumar Mukund

Tennis · Sports

M25 Yinchuan: Alibek Kachmazov vs Sasikumar Mukund

87%

Alibek Kachmazov

$2k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Columbia, SC: William Jansen vs Sean Daryabeigi

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: William Jansen vs Sean Daryabeigi

67%

William Jansen

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
M
M15 Columbia, SC: Teodor Davidov vs Michael Bassem Sobhy

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: Teodor Davidov vs Michael Bassem Sobhy

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
M
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Branko Djuric vs Alexander Gammariello

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Branko Djuric vs Alexander Gammariello

100%

Branko Djuric

$4k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
C
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs SNARKY (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs SNARKY (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

$943 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs

50%

Leo Team

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

15%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$270k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

46%

Basement Bobs

$241 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended
W
What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?
$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

39%

Nuclear TigeRES

$2k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours