Sam Bankman Fried Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

31%

Donald Brodie

$479k Vol.
$292k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
S
SBF released from custody in 2026?

2%

Yes

$465k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump pardon SBF by December 31?

25%

Yes

$59 Vol.
$440 Liq.
Ended
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

2%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
C
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage
$725 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage
$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
M15 Columbia, SC: John Hallquist Lithen vs Charlie Swaine

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: John Hallquist Lithen vs Charlie Swaine

88%

John Hallquist Lithen

$620 Vol.
$777 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
C
Counter-Strike: STATE vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: STATE vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs

38%

STATE

$125 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
C
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Diamant Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage
$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Branko Djuric vs Chirag Duhan

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Branko Djuric vs Chirag Duhan

84%

Branko Djuric

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Columbia, SC: Teodor Davidov vs Michael Bassem Sobhy

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: Teodor Davidov vs Michael Bassem Sobhy

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
S
San Diego 2 (Doubles): Klaassen/Papa vs Milavsky/Shick

Tennis · Sports

San Diego 2 (Doubles): Klaassen/Papa vs Milavsky/Shick

100%

Klaassen/Papa

$7k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Branko Djuric vs Alexander Gammariello

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Branko Djuric vs Alexander Gammariello

100%

Branko Djuric

$4k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
W50 Berkeley, CA: Hanna Chang vs Alina Shcherbinina

Tennis · Sports

W50 Berkeley, CA: Hanna Chang vs Alina Shcherbinina

72%

Hanna Chang

$18k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
MODUS Super Series: Francesco Basili vs Jake Neale

Sports · Games

MODUS Super Series: Francesco Basili vs Jake Neale

23%

Francesco Basili

$0 Vol.
$13 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs SNARKY (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs SNARKY (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

$943 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.1m Vol.
$274k Liq.
🔥$56k today
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group A

93%

Liquid

$319 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
C
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

46%

Basement Bobs

$241 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended
P
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek

Tennis · Sports

Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek

59%

Felix Gill

$805 Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 8 days