Referendum Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Iceland EU referendum passes?

0%

Yes

$269k Vol.
$23k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

33%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$181 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

12%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$732 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

2%

Yes

$68k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

70%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Food initiative

$48k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

37%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$175 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

56%

Yes

$259 Vol.
$850 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

10%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

58%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$857 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

4%

Yes

$49k Vol.
$17k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

33%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$314 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

44%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

28%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$214 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

49%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$25 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

99%

Yes

$958 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

90%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year