Referenda Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Iceland EU referendum passes?

0%

Yes

$269k Vol.
$23k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

32%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$189 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

11%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$663 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

71%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Food initiative

$49k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

45%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$835 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

10%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

60%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
6
Ends in about 10 hours
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

20%

Yes

$561k Vol.
$1k Liq.
29
Ended
S
Spain snap election called in 2026?

Spain snap election called in 2026?

22%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

55%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$320 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

42%

<2.75%

$506 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

36%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$401 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place

Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place

72%

Capitão Alberto Neto

$27k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

89%

39%+

$51k Vol.
$109k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months