Referenda Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Iceland EU referendum passes?

0%

Yes

$278k Vol.
$33k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

33%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$177 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

11%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$665 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

3%

Food initiative

$49k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

72%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

41%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

45%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$841 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

10%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

30%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$2k Liq.
6
Ended
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

21%

Yes

$561k Vol.
$1k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
S
Spain snap election called in 2026?

Spain snap election called in 2026?

21%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

49%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$300 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

40%

<2.75%

$526 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

79%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$102k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

36%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$422 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

88%

39%+

$61k Vol.
$130k Liq.
Ends in 14 days