Reconciliation Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

W
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

22%

December 31

$17k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

32%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$3k Vol.
$817 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$265k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k Vol.
$139k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

59%

Alliance

$80 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

68%

December 31

$774k Vol.
$72k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

8%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$653k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?
$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
I
Israel Election: Together vote share?

Israel Election: Together vote share?

40%

9-11%

$735 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

18%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$11k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

100%

Galions

$313k Vol.
$326k Liq.
🔥$313k today
Ends in about 5 hours
I
Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

41%

4-4.75%

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

19%

October 31

$20k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: regain vs True Synergy Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs
$772 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

52%

6%+

$1k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stage

22%

MIBR fe

$20 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in 3 months