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Public Release Predictions & Odds· 134 markets

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S
SSI public model released by…?

Tech·AI

SSI public model released by…?

43%

December 31

$103k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?

Culture·Games

Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?

42%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$230 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the next Muse model family be named?

Tech·AI

What will the next Muse model family be named?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Tech·AI

Astra removed from public access by...?

5%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
G
GTA VI released by...?

Culture·GTA VI

GTA VI released by...?

93%

November 30

$158k Vol.
$80k Liq.
8
Ends in 2 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Tech·AI

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$27k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
D
D4vd released from custody in 2026?

Culture·Courts

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

7%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$648 Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

Tech·AI

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
E
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

Finance·Privates

Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

8%

Epic Games

$1k Vol.
$736 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

84%

October 31

$19k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Tech·AI

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$52k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

Finance·Privates

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

9%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Tech·AI

Grok 5 released by...?

54%

December 31

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Tech·AI

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

25%

October 21

$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Finance·Privates

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

49%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

37%

November 30

$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

Tech·AI

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

Finance·Privates

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

20%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

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