Public Release Predictions & Odds· 134 markets

S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?

28%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$357 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the next Muse model family be named?

What will the next Muse model family be named?

50%

Other

$20 Vol.
$429 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Astra removed from public access by...?

4%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$338 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
G
GTA VI released by...?

GTA VI released by...?

93%

November 30

$150k Vol.
$91k Liq.
8
Ends in 2 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

90%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
D
D4vd released from custody in 2026?

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

7%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$645 Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
E
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

9%

Epic Games

$1k Vol.
$399 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

85%

October 31

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

99%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

99%

November 30

$49k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$49k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

16%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

59%

December 31

$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Greenland deal text released by...?

Greenland deal text released by...?

84%

September 30

$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 days
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

48%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

35%

October 31

$22k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 months