Primary Ballot Predictions & Odds· 501 markets

M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

40%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$320 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$314 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

54%

Yes

$623 Vol.
$573 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory

Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory

Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$7k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory

Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
Nebraska Governor Election Margin of Victory

Nebraska Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

69%

Édouard Philippe

$6k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
C
Colorado Governor Election Margin of Victory

Colorado Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$7k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Illinois Governor Election Margin of Victory

Illinois Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory

Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$9k Vol.
$116k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Minnesota Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory

Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
K
Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Candidate A

$869 Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$7k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$2k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month