Primaries 预测与赔率· 101 个市场

W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

$89 交易量
$95 流动性
将近 2 年后结束
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

88%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k 交易量
$49k 流动性
21 天后结束
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

34%

Yes

$645 交易量
$197 流动性
2
21 天后结束
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

69%

Olivier Faure

$5k 交易量
$13k 流动性
21 天后结束
H
How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

97%

4-6

$97k 交易量
$18k 流动性
1
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

92%

Canceled

$228k 交易量
$89k 流动性
31
21 天后结束
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

40%

Yes

$988 交易量
$322 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

3%

Misti Cordell

$64k 交易量
$60k 流动性
1
已结束
H
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

93%

10-12

$54k 交易量
$9k 流动性
4
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$13k 交易量
$104k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k 交易量
$839k 流动性
1
将近 2 年后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

22–23

$695k 交易量
$75k 流动性
4
大约 1 个月后结束
N
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

98%

Pappas 30–35%

$6k 交易量
$100k 流动性
已结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$328 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

22%

125-130m

$30k 交易量
$118k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
O
OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

96%

Suzanne Bonamici (D)

$27k 交易量
$21k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$576 交易量
$314 流动性
6 个月后结束
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$178k 交易量
$24k 流动性
10
4 个月后结束